Re: Survival analyses

[Richard Fay <richard.fay@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Ken,

It is online at the Child Maltreatment web site. The link and abstract
follows:

http://www.ingenta.com/

Abstract:
The objective of this study was to examine, in an ecological context, the
relative importance of risk factors for chronic recidivism in child
abuse/neglect (CA/N). Survival analysis of multiple referrals to Child
Protective Services (CPS), supplemented by neural network analysis, shows
that a constellation of risk and other factors are associated with the
likelihood of recidivism of CA/N. Caregivers distinguish families with
multiple referrals by their history of abuse or neglect as children, abuse or
neglect that began at an early age, having children with developmental
delays, and having multiple victims in the family. Time to rereferral
decreases with an increasing number of prior referrals, and there is a marked
difference in the time to the first rereferral when compared to subsequent
rereferrals. This indicates that referral to CPS reflects conditions that
increase the likelihood of additional referrals to CPS. Administrative
factors account for some of the variance in multiple referrals.

I was unable to get access to the article as I am not a subscriber.


Richard Fay MSW


Ken Prescott wrote:

> Where is it online?
> Ken
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-CHILD-MALTREATMENT-RESEARCH-L@cornell.edu
> [mailto:owner-CHILD-MALTREATMENT-RESEARCH-L@cornell.edu]On Behalf Of
> Bruce MacLaurin
> Sent: Wednesday, July 17, 2002 2:06 PM
> To: Child Maltreatment Researchers
> Subject: Re: Survival analyses
>
> Phil,
>
> I just read an article by Marshall & English (1999), Survival Analysis of
> Risk Factors for Recidivism in Child Abuse and Neglect, in Child
> Maltreatment, Vol. 4(4), p. 287-296. It is available on-line.
>
> Bruce MacLaurin
>
> Philip Garnier wrote:
>
> > Could someone give me a good, representative reference of a study in a
> > social work journal using survival analysis?  I'd like a model for the
> > writeup of the methods and results.
> >
> > Thanks,
> >
> > Philip Garnier
> >
> > _________________________________________________
> >
> > Philip Garnier, PhD
> > Research Data Analyst
> > Children and Family Research Center
> > School of Social Work
> > University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
> > 1203 W Oregon St., MC-140
> > Urbana, IL 61801
> >
> > (217) 244-5251                     pgarnier@uiuc.edu
>
> --
> Bruce MacLaurin,
> Assistant Professor,
> Faculty of Social Work,
> University of Calgary,
> 2500 University Drive, NW,
> Calgary, Alberta T2N 1N4
>
> Tel: (403) 220-4698
> Fax: (403) 282-7269
> Email: bmaclaur@ucalgary.ca