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RE: risk assessment with sexually aggressive children



Plenary session presented by Dr. Bill Friedrich in Nov 2000 at ATSA
conference "Developmental-Systemic Perspectives on Children with Sexual
Behavior Problems."
1) There is weak scientific support for the cycle of abuse theory. It is
based almost exclusively upon adult retrospective, unverified self-report
data
2) Prospective data suggests weak links
3) When children are referred from multiple sources (not CPS) for sexual
behavior problems =/- 35% (see Bonner et al study
(http://www.calib.com/nccanch/pubs/otherpubs/childassessment/index.cfm)
4) Prospectively even if 1/3 of sexually abused children have sexual
behavior problems, we do not know what percentage will go on to be
adolescent sexual offenders. Friedrich gave a figure of about 6.5% going on
to offend in adulthood.


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 Niki Delson at Delson-Kokish Associates, P.O. Box 476, Trinidad, CA 95570
        Clinical and Forensic Evaluations, Consultation & Training
                 (707)677-3181-voice   (707)677-0187-fax
          nikid@northcoast.com-email   www.northcoast.com/~dka
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-----Original Message-----
From: owner-CHILD-MALTREATMENT-RESEARCH-L@cornell.edu
[mailto:owner-CHILD-MALTREATMENT-RESEARCH-L@cornell.edu]On Behalf Of
Christine Agee
Sent: Sunday, July 29, 2001 1:08 PM
To: Child Maltreatment Researchers
Subject: risk assessment with sexually aggressive children




I have three somewhat related questions:

1) Does anyone know of any research related to the likelihood of children
who have been sexually abused to sexually act out on others?

2) Recent research on the risk of sexually acting out children to sexually
act out in the future?

3) ANY literature on risk assessment or recidivism of female adolescent
sexual offenders?

Thanks very much in advance.  I am new to the list and anticipate that it
will be a valuable resource.

Christine E. Agee, Ph.D.
2200 Lakeshore Drive, Suite 150
Birmingham, AL 35209


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